The idea is that currently, CB+hiring seems think that finding seven (or any small integer) of people who can each multiply some idea/project/program’s success by 100 is a big win, because this multiplies the whole thing by 10^14! This is the kind of thing an “impact is heavy tailed” model naively seems to imply we should do.
But then I’m asking “how many people who can each add 10% to a thing’s value would be as good as finding those seven superstars”?
If the answer was like 410,000, it would seem like maybe finding the seven is the easier thing to do. But since the answer is 338, I think it would be easier to find and put to use those 338 people
Yeah, that was written way too hastily haha.
The idea is that currently, CB+hiring seems think that finding seven (or any small integer) of people who can each multiply some idea/project/program’s success by 100 is a big win, because this multiplies the whole thing by 10^14! This is the kind of thing an “impact is heavy tailed” model naively seems to imply we should do.
But then I’m asking “how many people who can each add 10% to a thing’s value would be as good as finding those seven superstars”?
If the answer was like 410,000, it would seem like maybe finding the seven is the easier thing to do. But since the answer is 338, I think it would be easier to find and put to use those 338 people
Hmm, I’m skeptical of this model. It seems like it would be increasingly difficult to achieve a constant 1.1x multiplier as you add more people.
For example, it would be much harder for Apple’s 300th employee to increase their share price by 10% compared to their 5th employee.