I’m not a fan of Leverage, but I agree with Richard here. I think Kerry is better modeled as “normal philosophy-friendly EA” with the modifications “less conflict-averse than the average EA” and “mad at EA (for plenty of good reasons and also plenty of bad reasons, IMO) and therefore pretty axe-grindy”. If you model him with a schema closer to “crazy cultist” than to “bitter ex-EA”, I expect you to make worse predictions.
I’m not a fan of Leverage, but I agree with Richard here. I think Kerry is better modeled as “normal philosophy-friendly EA” with the modifications “less conflict-averse than the average EA” and “mad at EA (for plenty of good reasons and also plenty of bad reasons, IMO) and therefore pretty axe-grindy”. If you model him with a schema closer to “crazy cultist” than to “bitter ex-EA”, I expect you to make worse predictions.