It just looks a lot like motivated reasoning to me—kind of like they started with the conclusion and worked backward. Those examples are pretty unreasonable as conditional probabilities. Do they explain why “algorithms for transformative AGI” are very unlikely to meaningfully speed up software and hardware R&D?
It just looks a lot like motivated reasoning to me—kind of like they started with the conclusion and worked backward. Those examples are pretty unreasonable as conditional probabilities. Do they explain why “algorithms for transformative AGI” are very unlikely to meaningfully speed up software and hardware R&D?