The σ>1 condition is exactly what Epoch and Forethought consider when they analyze whether the returns to research are high enough for a singularity.[5]
Though we initially consider this, we then adjust for compute as an input to R&D and so end up considering the sigma=1 condition. It’s under that condition that I think it’s more likely than not that the condition for a software-only intelligence explosion holds
Though we initially consider this, we then adjust for compute as an input to R&D and so end up considering the sigma=1 condition. It’s under that condition that I think it’s more likely than not that the condition for a software-only intelligence explosion holds
Thanks for the clarification. We updated the post accordingly.