I compared GiveWell to convince people who believe in global dev but are skeptical of AI risk. I could have kept the explanation of why dollars to GiveWell should be discounted and instead said “Donate [smaller yet still big amount] to AI safety / longtermist solutions” which would be equivalent to “Donate $5M to GiveWell” (assuming my discounting is accurate), but I feared it would sound circular. Some people’s natural response would be “I already don’t believe AI risk is that big of a deal!” even though the two framings are logically equivalent
I compared GiveWell to convince people who believe in global dev but are skeptical of AI risk. I could have kept the explanation of why dollars to GiveWell should be discounted and instead said “Donate [smaller yet still big amount] to AI safety / longtermist solutions” which would be equivalent to “Donate $5M to GiveWell” (assuming my discounting is accurate), but I feared it would sound circular. Some people’s natural response would be “I already don’t believe AI risk is that big of a deal!” even though the two framings are logically equivalent