A 10% chance of a million people dying is as bad as 100,000 people dying with certainty, if youâre risk-neutral. Essentially thatâs the main argument for working on a speculative cause like AGIâif thereâs a small chance of the end of humanity, that still matters a great deal.
As for âWonât other people take care of thisâ, well...you could make that same argument about global health and development, too. More people is good for increasing potential impact of both fields.
(Also worth notingâEA as a whole does devote a lot of resources to global health and development, you just donât see as many posts about it because thereâs less to discuss/âargue about)
A 10% chance of a million people dying is as bad as 100,000 people dying with certainty, if youâre risk-neutral. Essentially thatâs the main argument for working on a speculative cause like AGIâif thereâs a small chance of the end of humanity, that still matters a great deal.
As for âWonât other people take care of thisâ, well...you could make that same argument about global health and development, too. More people is good for increasing potential impact of both fields.
(Also worth notingâEA as a whole does devote a lot of resources to global health and development, you just donât see as many posts about it because thereâs less to discuss/âargue about)