I think this is a very compelling (and enjoyable) essay. I particularly appreciate the first point of 2.1 as an intuitive reminder of the complicated empirical issues at hand. The main argument here is strengthened by this intuitive way of highlighting that doing (impartial) good is actually complicated.
I appreciate the efforts made here of highlighting alternatives to long-term EV maximization with precise credences, since the lack of “other options” can be a big mental blocker. Part 3 (and the conclusion, to an extent) seem to constitute the first solid high-level overview of this on the Forum, so this is quite helpful. Not to mention, these sections act as serious reminders of how important it is to “get it right”, whatever that ends up meaning.
I think this is a very compelling (and enjoyable) essay. I particularly appreciate the first point of 2.1 as an intuitive reminder of the complicated empirical issues at hand. The main argument here is strengthened by this intuitive way of highlighting that doing (impartial) good is actually complicated.
I appreciate the efforts made here of highlighting alternatives to long-term EV maximization with precise credences, since the lack of “other options” can be a big mental blocker. Part 3 (and the conclusion, to an extent) seem to constitute the first solid high-level overview of this on the Forum, so this is quite helpful. Not to mention, these sections act as serious reminders of how important it is to “get it right”, whatever that ends up meaning.