I think that putting up probabilities is and should be expected. I think that actual financial betting shouldn’t be expected but is certainly welcome.
If I was going to dispute the first thing I would do is ask for probabilities. It seems weird to try to argue with you about whether your predictions are wrong if I don’t even know what they are. For all I know we have the same predictions and just a different view of other posters’ predictions.
I literally explained why I don’t want to give probabilities. I like, literally spent my time writing out a good faith reply to you, assuming a good faith comment.
Since you actively disagree, and you actively want to make a bet on this, you are perfectly able to do the work to set probabilities and I can take them.
As we both know, the construction of the probabilities, is entirely distinct from willing to put up money for the beliefs.
No, don’t try to walk this back, you know what you did. Give the probabilities.
I think that putting up probabilities is and should be expected. I think that actual financial betting shouldn’t be expected but is certainly welcome.
If I was going to dispute the first thing I would do is ask for probabilities. It seems weird to try to argue with you about whether your predictions are wrong if I don’t even know what they are. For all I know we have the same predictions and just a different view of other posters’ predictions.
I literally explained why I don’t want to give probabilities. I like, literally spent my time writing out a good faith reply to you, assuming a good faith comment.
Since you actively disagree, and you actively want to make a bet on this, you are perfectly able to do the work to set probabilities and I can take them.
As we both know, the construction of the probabilities, is entirely distinct from willing to put up money for the beliefs.
No, don’t try to walk this back, you know what you did. Give the probabilities.