In 2020, I estimate about 14% net growth, bringing the total number of active EAs to 7,400.
Do you think this growth rate applies to the “Highly-Engaged EAs” classification as well, of which there were estimated to be 2,315 in the 2019 Rethink Priorities analysis?
Is this an estimate for the “Active EAs” at the end of 2020, or as of July 2021?
(Caveat to others that if you look at these estimates in Rethink Priorities initial 2019 report, you’ll find that while they are well-informed, they are quite rough, so precise estimates have limited value.)
Yes—I wasn’t trying to distinguish between the two.
Probably best to think of it as the estimate for 2020 (specifically, it’s based on the number of EA survey respondents in the 2019 survey vs. the 2020 survey).
This estimate is just based on one method. Other methods could yield pretty different numbers. Probably best to think of the range as something like −5% to 30%.
Do you think this growth rate applies to the “Highly-Engaged EAs” classification as well, of which there were estimated to be 2,315 in the 2019 Rethink Priorities analysis?
Is this an estimate for the “Active EAs” at the end of 2020, or as of July 2021?
(Caveat to others that if you look at these estimates in Rethink Priorities initial 2019 report, you’ll find that while they are well-informed, they are quite rough, so precise estimates have limited value.)
Yes—I wasn’t trying to distinguish between the two.
Probably best to think of it as the estimate for 2020 (specifically, it’s based on the number of EA survey respondents in the 2019 survey vs. the 2020 survey).
This estimate is just based on one method. Other methods could yield pretty different numbers. Probably best to think of the range as something like −5% to 30%.
Thanks, that’s helpful info.