The estimates are aiming to take account of the counterfactual i.e. when I say “that person generates value equivalent to extra donations of $1m per year to the movement”, the $1m is accounting for the fact that the movement has the option to hire someone else.
In practice, most orgs are practicing threshold hiring, where if someone is clearly above the bar, they’ll create a new role for them (which is what we should expect if there’s a funding overhang).
The estimates are aiming to take account of the counterfactual i.e. when I say “that person generates value equivalent to extra donations of $1m per year to the movement”, the $1m is accounting for the fact that the movement has the option to hire someone else.
In practice, most orgs are practicing threshold hiring, where if someone is clearly above the bar, they’ll create a new role for them (which is what we should expect if there’s a funding overhang).