Thanks for the explanation! I think I see what you’re saying now. I bet you’re right, deaths attributed to the change in temperature would likely remain low. I think most of the deaths would come from food shortages (as of the current data, a lot of land in Europe would no longer be arable) and that could affect a more significant portion of the population.
You are welcome! The deaths from non-optimal temperature plotted above are supposed to cover all causes of death, including from food shortages (although these might account for a much larger fraction of the deaths from non-optimal temperature for abrupt variations of temperature). There were 1.91 M deaths from non-optimal temperature in 2021, 53.1 (= 1.91*10^6/(36.0*10^3)) times the 36.0 k deaths from environmental heat and cold exposure. From Our World in Data (OWID):
Think about someone dying from extreme temperatures. You probably pictured someone passing out from heat stroke or dying from hypothermia.
But this is not how most people die from “heat”. They die from conditions such as cardiovascular or kidney disease, respiratory infections, or diabetes.
Thanks for the explanation! I think I see what you’re saying now. I bet you’re right, deaths attributed to the change in temperature would likely remain low. I think most of the deaths would come from food shortages (as of the current data, a lot of land in Europe would no longer be arable) and that could affect a more significant portion of the population.
You are welcome! The deaths from non-optimal temperature plotted above are supposed to cover all causes of death, including from food shortages (although these might account for a much larger fraction of the deaths from non-optimal temperature for abrupt variations of temperature). There were 1.91 M deaths from non-optimal temperature in 2021, 53.1 (= 1.91*10^6/(36.0*10^3)) times the 36.0 k deaths from environmental heat and cold exposure. From Our World in Data (OWID):