I’ll note first that my experience does not make me particularly qualified to answer this, especially since I’ve consciously spent much less time thinking about politics in the past 2 years.
I expect the Biden administration to be much better than the Trump administration on most matters, although I still expect to hear about decisions I disagree with vehemently, probably on a monthly or bi-monthly basis rather than a daily basis. I assign low probability to major changes in institutions (<5%) and I think there’s a slightly better though still low chance of improvements on political polarization (<25%).
Mostly, I expect things to continue to be frustratingly stupid.
What do you think the next 4 years has in store for the US, especially concerning the probability of a major change in institutions and order there.
I’ll note first that my experience does not make me particularly qualified to answer this, especially since I’ve consciously spent much less time thinking about politics in the past 2 years.
I expect the Biden administration to be much better than the Trump administration on most matters, although I still expect to hear about decisions I disagree with vehemently, probably on a monthly or bi-monthly basis rather than a daily basis. I assign low probability to major changes in institutions (<5%) and I think there’s a slightly better though still low chance of improvements on political polarization (<25%).
Mostly, I expect things to continue to be frustratingly stupid.