I think far more than $10M/​year is going into forecasting. Many grants for forecasting are awarded outside the forecasting fund, such as the Navigating Transformative AI Fund. It depends on what you count, but I think it is closer to $25M/​year.
I really question if people are really getting much, if anything, from all these forecasts that they didn’t already have before.
I think far more than $10M/​year is going into forecasting. Many grants for forecasting are awarded outside the forecasting fund, such as the Navigating Transformative AI Fund. It depends on what you count, but I think it is closer to $25M/​year.
I really question if people are really getting much, if anything, from all these forecasts that they didn’t already have before.