2. Undervaluing unknown risks and broad interventions to shape the future
What decision procedures would lead to valuing broad interventions more? Aren’t the effects often more speculative than say the reduction of global catastrophic risks (although that doesn’t mean GCR reduction is net positive, we could be saving bad futures)? EDIT: I suppose a cluster-thinking approach using many weak (and not well-quantified) arguments could value broad interventions more.
Also, these do get some attention in EA, see here to start, discussing institutional reform, global priorities research and growing the EA movement. Broad interventions (aimed at the near-ish future, I suppose) seem plausibly more neglected in the global health and development space in EA, discussed here.
What decision procedures would lead to valuing broad interventions more? Aren’t the effects often more speculative than say the reduction of global catastrophic risks (although that doesn’t mean GCR reduction is net positive, we could be saving bad futures)? EDIT: I suppose a cluster-thinking approach using many weak (and not well-quantified) arguments could value broad interventions more.
Also, these do get some attention in EA, see here to start, discussing institutional reform, global priorities research and growing the EA movement. Broad interventions (aimed at the near-ish future, I suppose) seem plausibly more neglected in the global health and development space in EA, discussed here.