My decision criteria would be whether the chosen grants look likely to be better than OPs own grants in expectation. (n.b. I don’t think comparing to the grants people like least ex post is a good way to do this).
So ultimately, I wouldn’t be willing to pre-commit large dollars to such an experiment. I’m open-minded that it could be better, but I don’t expect it to be, so that would violate the key principle of our giving.
Re: large costs to small-scale experiments, it seems notable that those are all costs incurred by the community rather than $ costs. So if the community believes in the ROI, perhaps they are worth the risk?
My decision criteria would be whether the chosen grants look likely to be better than OPs own grants in expectation. (n.b. I don’t think comparing to the grants people like least ex post is a good way to do this).
So ultimately, I wouldn’t be willing to pre-commit large dollars to such an experiment. I’m open-minded that it could be better, but I don’t expect it to be, so that would violate the key principle of our giving.
Re: large costs to small-scale experiments, it seems notable that those are all costs incurred by the community rather than $ costs. So if the community believes in the ROI, perhaps they are worth the risk?