Fair point. I’m just thinking of grants like the Reproducibility Project in Psychology. At the time I asked for funding for this (late 2012-early 2013), I absolutely did not foresee that it would be published in Science in 2015, that Science would ask me to write an accompanying editorial, or that it would become one of the standard citations (with nearly 8,000 citations on Google Scholar). At the time, I would only have predicted a much more normal-size impact, and mostly I was just relying on gut intuition that “this seems really promising.”
Fair point. I’m just thinking of grants like the Reproducibility Project in Psychology. At the time I asked for funding for this (late 2012-early 2013), I absolutely did not foresee that it would be published in Science in 2015, that Science would ask me to write an accompanying editorial, or that it would become one of the standard citations (with nearly 8,000 citations on Google Scholar). At the time, I would only have predicted a much more normal-size impact, and mostly I was just relying on gut intuition that “this seems really promising.”