Skepticism about near-term AGI

A collection of Effective Altruism Forum posts that make skeptical arguments about the prospects of near-term artificial general intelligence, or AGI.

Why I am Still Skep­ti­cal about AGI by 2030

How Well Does RL Scale?

AI won’t achieve gen­eral in­tel­li­gence through scaling

3 rea­sons AGI might still be decades away