Philip Tetlock

TagLast edit: 22 May 2021 14:17 UTC by Pablo

Philip Eyrikson Tetlock (born 2 March 1954) is a Canadian-American political scientist, currently a professor at the University of Pennsylvania.


Wiblin, Robert (2017) Prof Tetlock on predicting catastrophes, why keep your politics secret, and when experts know more than you, 80,000 Hours, November 20.

Wiblin, Robert & Keiran Harris (2019) Accurately predicting the future is central to absolutely everything. Professor Tetlock has spent 40 years studying how to do it better, 80,000 Hours, June 28.

External links

Philip E. Tetlock. Official website.

Philip Tet­lock: Fireside chat

EA Global4 Feb 2020 21:25 UTC
13 points
1 comment25 min readEA link

Ta­boo “Out­side View”

kokotajlod17 Jun 2021 9:39 UTC
157 points
11 comments8 min readEA link

In­ter­view with Prof Tet­lock on epistemic mod­esty, pre­dict­ing catas­trophic risks, AI, and more

80000_Hours20 Nov 2017 18:34 UTC
6 points
0 commentsEA link

Su­perfore­cast­ers [link]

RyanCarey20 Aug 2015 18:38 UTC
6 points
0 commentsEA link

Ten Com­mand­ments for Aspiring Su­perfore­cast­ers

Evan_Gaensbauer25 Apr 2018 5:07 UTC
19 points
3 commentsEA link

Q&A with Philip Tet­lock (2016)

EA Global5 Aug 2016 9:19 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Philip Tet­lock on why ac­cu­rate fore­cast­ing mat­ters for ev­ery­thing, and how you can do it better

80000_Hours28 Jun 2019 10:16 UTC
6 points
0 comments89 min readEA link

Ev­i­dence on good fore­cast­ing prac­tices from the Good Judg­ment Pro­ject: an ac­com­pa­ny­ing blog post

kokotajlod15 Feb 2019 19:14 UTC
68 points
13 comments21 min readEA link
No comments.