Thank you Joel for pointing me in the right direction. You make a good point on not wanting to prematurely write off research findings
In response to the challenges in cause/intervention prioritization and the benefits of research duplication:
Bayesian Updating for Research Analysis: Implement a Bayesian updating system to continuously revise research certainty, accommodating new data and insights.
Visual Credibility Indicators: Use a color gradient in a table format to represent research certainty levels, making it easier to interpret findings at a glance.
Research Depth and Uncertainty Metrics: Track the extent and depth of research, focusing on areas with high uncertainty or potential for further exploration.
Estimating Further Research Potential: Assess the potential for additional insights in each research area, similar to estimating untapped resources in land surveying.
Goal: To refine research prioritization, recognize the value of duplication for verification, and avoid premature dismissal of ideas based on limited data.
Potential Pitfalls:
Over-reliance on Quantitative Metrics: Solely relying on quantitative metrics might overlook qualitative aspects of research, leading to incomplete evaluations.
Misinterpretation of Data: The color gradient system could be misinterpreted if not accompanied by clear guidelines, leading to incorrect conclusions.
System Complexity: Implementing a Bayesian updating system could be complex and require significant resources for accurate and effective functioning.
Bias in Data Input: The system’s effectiveness is contingent on the quality and neutrality of the input data, with biased inputs leading to skewed outcomes.
Ignoring Contextual Factors: The system might not fully account for contextual factors affecting research, such as socio-economic or cultural aspects.
Thank you for sharing this journey. In addition, I will be using the STOPP routine now more often. I implemented it today when I found myself getting overwhelmed by the calls I had to make today and it helped guide me back on track.
This also helped me gain a feel for how the community has grown.
This is inspiring