anonymoose

• anonymoose 22 Dec 2021 11:11 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Aaron Gertler’s comment on: To what ex­tent is Paradigm Academy a front or­ga­ni­za­tion for, or a covert re­brand of Lev­er­age Re­search?

  Just saw this. The complaint was apparently that people were listed as having worked for orgs (other than LR) where they only contracted or consulted. But as I recall it, I transcribed these associations directly from Linkedin. So I’ve reverted the comment, and changed “worked at” to “had experience at” to more precisely match the language of LinkedIn.

• anonymoose 10 Jul 2020 17:41 UTC

  11 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  About two years have now passed since the post. Main updates:

  • Leverage Research appears to be just four people. They have announced new plans, and released a short introduction to their interests in early stage science, but not any other work. Their history of Leverage Research appears to have stalled at the fourth chapter.

  • Reserve seems to be ten people, about seven of whom were involved with Leverage Research. Reserve Rights is up by about 160% since being floated two years ago.

  • Paradigm Research is now branding as a self-help organisation.

• anonymoose 21 Nov 2019 21:04 UTC

  14 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Habryka’s comment on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  after I read this comment I left thinking that Reserve performed exceptionally poorly but..

  Your initial impression was correct. Reserve has entered a terrible market and managed to perform substantially worse than its terrible competitors. Since May 24, when Reserve Rights was priced:

  • the S&P gained 14%,

  • cryptocurrency at large lost 17%,

  • cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin lost 33%,

  • while Reserve Rights managed to lose 52.3%.

• anonymoose 21 Nov 2019 15:00 UTC

  10 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Habryka’s comment on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  You are also incorrect that Bitcoin has returned 1% over the same time period.

  Reserve Rights was floated on May 24 according to CoinMarketCap, at which time Bitcoin was worth $7800-$7950, and it is now worth the same amount, so the error must be either with you, or with CoinMarketCap.

• anonymoose 20 Nov 2019 23:57 UTC

  6 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: anonymoose’s comment on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  Reserve has now lost 50.6% of its value since its float, while Bitcoin has returned ~1% over the same time period.

• anonymoose 14 Sep 2019 18:51 UTC

  11 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: LarissaHeskethRowe’s comment on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  Thanks Larissa—the offer to write up posts from Leverage Research is a generous offer. Might it not be a more efficient use of your time, though, to instead answer questions about Leverage the public domain, many of which are fairly straightforward?

  For example, you mention that Leverage is welcoming to new staff. This sounds positive—at the same time, the way Leverage treated incoming staff is one of the main kinds of fact discussed in the top-level post. Is it still true that: (i) staff still discuss recruitees on individual slack channels, (ii) mind-mapping is still used during recruitment of staff, (iii) growth-rates are overestimated, (iv) specific lists of attendees are recruited from EA events, and (v) negative rumours are still spread about other organizations that might compete for similar talent? To the extent that you are not sure about (i-v), it would be interested to know whether you raised those concerns with Geoff in the hiring process, before joining the organization.

  For other questions raised by the top-level post: (a) are Leverage’s outputs truly as they appear? (b) Is its consumption of financial resources and talent, as it appears? (c) Has it truly gone to such efforts to conceal its activities as described under the general transparency section? (d) How will Leverage measure any impact from its ninth year of operation?

  From another post: (e) How many of the staff at Leverage Research are also affiliated with Paradigm Academy? (f) How much of the leadership of Leverage Research is also playing a leading role at Paradigm Academy?

  Since your investigations give you much more information on this topic than is available to an interested outsider, it should be very easy for you to help us out with these questions.

• anonymoose 1 Sep 2019 22:26 UTC

  32 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts

  • Leverage Research spent a further $388k in 2017.

  • At least 11 of 13 Paradigm Academy staff listed on Linkedin are known to have worked for Leverage Research or allied organizations.

  • The coin made by Reserve (one of the successor companies to Leverage Research) has returned −32.7% since its float at the time of writing. In the same time period, bitcoin returned 24%.

  What links here?

  • RyanCarey's comment on Zoe Curzi’s Ex­pe­rience with Lev­er­age Research by Ilverin the Stupid and Offensive (LessWrong; 29 Oct 2022 4:20 UTC; 7 points)

• anonymoose 1 Sep 2019 21:47 UTC

  27 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: To what ex­tent is Paradigm Academy a front or­ga­ni­za­tion for, or a covert re­brand of Lev­er­age Re­search?

  An analysis of personnel is an incomplete and non-definitive answer but ought to be a useful starting point.

  Paradigm Academy does not list its team on its website. However, a quick search on Linkedin yields 16 results (13 with public profiles) for people at Paradigm Academy. Of these 13 profiles, 7 include experience at Leverage Research or allied organizations, and a further 4 are well-known to have worked for Leverage Research. Edit: at the request of Julia Wise, I’ve encoded the names in rot13, so that this comment doesn’t broadcast their association to LR to everyone who Googles their names.

  Leverage Research, Paradigm Academy and Reserve:

  Zvpunry Phemv

  Leverage Research and Paradigm Academy

  Rzvyl Pebggrnh, Wrna Sna [YE abg pvgrq], Nabalzbhf Crefba [YE abg pvgrq; cersref abg gb or nffbpvngrq jvgu YE]

  Paradigm Academy and Reserve:

  Xriva J, Urael Svfure, Qnavry Pbyfba

  Paradigm Academy only:

  Nynaan Xebjvnx, Wnaryyr Jvyyvnzf, Wbanguna Jnyyvf [Frrzrq irel vaibyirq va YE], Zvaql ZpGrvthr [Frrzrq irel vaibyirq va YE]

  Paradigm Academy and Bismarck Analysis:

  Mnpx Yrenatvf, Oevna Oheaf

  
  

  Edit, June 2022: I should hope it goes without saying, but please don’t harass these folks for having worked at LR.

  What links here?

  • Kerry_Vaughan's comment on Ben_West’s Quick takes by Ben_West (29 Oct 2022 0:45 UTC; -10 points)

• anonymoose 9 Aug 2019 23:32 UTC

  18 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Geoff_Anders’s comment on: Where are Lev­er­age re­search staff now?

  Also, did you end up posting the promised response on Leverage Research last year?

  What links here?

  • Gregory Lewis's comment on Lev­er­age Re­search: re­view­ing the ba­sic facts by throwaway (9 Sep 2019 17:14 UTC; 121 points)

• anonymoose 9 Aug 2019 23:29 UTC

  8 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Geoff_Anders’s comment on: Where are Lev­er­age re­search staff now?

  For some reason, it’s listed in archived conversations. But my question is:

  Hi! Just drawing this question to your notice: https://​forum.effectivealtruism.org/​posts/​KyMkDs3SBNpo85qvz/​leverage-research-shutting-down

  Would be great if you can share your thoughts.

• anonymoose 4 Jul 2019 21:49 UTC

  16 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Lev­er­age Re­search shut­ting down?

  Is Leverage core rebranding to Paradigm Academy? Are the other branches Reserve and Bismarck Analysis?