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David Johnston

Karma: 660

[Question] Who is work­ing on struc­tured crowd fore­cast­ing?

David Johnston20 Dec 2021 8:58 UTC
4 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Fore­cast pro­ce­dure competitions

David Johnston10 Jan 2022 0:17 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Cross-post] A nu­clear war fore­cast is not a coin flip

David Johnston15 Mar 2022 4:01 UTC
29 points
12 comments3 min readEA link

[Cross-post] Change my mind: we should define and mea­sure the effec­tive­ness of ad­vanced AI

David Johnston6 Apr 2022 0:20 UTC
4 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

[Question] Which pos­si­ble AI im­pacts should re­ceive the most ad­di­tional at­ten­tion?

David Johnston31 May 2022 2:01 UTC
10 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Govern­ments pose larger risks than cor­po­ra­tions: a brief re­sponse to Grace

David Johnston19 Oct 2022 11:54 UTC
11 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

When can a mimic sur­prise you? Why gen­er­a­tive mod­els han­dle seem­ingly ill-posed problems

David Johnston6 Nov 2022 11:46 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

How likely are ma­lign pri­ors over ob­jec­tives? [aborted WIP]

David Johnston11 Nov 2022 6:03 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

How much can we learn from other peo­ple’s guesses?

David Johnston8 Mar 2023 3:29 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Longter­mism and short­ter­mism can dis­agree on nu­clear war to stop ad­vanced AI

David Johnston30 Mar 2023 23:22 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link