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Davidmanheim

Karma: 7,788

The Coun­ter­fac­tual Quiet AGI Timeline

Davidmanheim5 Oct 2025 10:02 UTC
27 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

Chip Pro­duc­tion Policy Won’t Mat­ter as Much as You’d Think

Davidmanheim31 Aug 2025 18:58 UTC
33 points
8 comments5 min readEA link

ALTER Is­rael Mid-2025 Semi­an­nual Update

Davidmanheim15 Jul 2025 7:47 UTC
13 points
1 comment5 min readEA link

The Frag­ility of Naive Dynamism

Davidmanheim19 May 2025 7:53 UTC
10 points
1 comment17 min readEA link

...but is in­creas­ing the value of fu­tures tractable?

Davidmanheim19 Mar 2025 8:49 UTC
47 points
23 comments1 min readEA link

Bet­ter Games or Bed­nets?

Davidmanheim26 Feb 2025 0:51 UTC
41 points
3 comments3 min readEA link

ALTER Is­rael End-of-2024 Update

Davidmanheim7 Jan 2025 15:07 UTC
38 points
1 comment4 min readEA link

Ex­plor­ing Co­op­er­a­tion: The Path to Utopia

Davidmanheim25 Dec 2024 18:31 UTC
10 points
0 comments14 min readEA link
(exploringcooperation.substack.com)

Moder­ately Skep­ti­cal of “Risks of Mir­ror Biol­ogy”

Davidmanheim20 Dec 2024 12:57 UTC
15 points
1 comment9 min readEA link
(substack.com)

Miti­gat­ing Geo­mag­netic Storm and EMP Risks to the Elec­tri­cal Grid (Shal­low Dive)

Davidmanheim26 Nov 2024 8:00 UTC
9 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

Scal­ing Laws and Likely Limits to AI

Davidmanheim18 Aug 2024 17:19 UTC
19 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Mis­nam­ing and Other Is­sues with OpenAI’s “Hu­man Level” Su­per­in­tel­li­gence Hierarchy

Davidmanheim15 Jul 2024 5:50 UTC
14 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

ALTER Is­rael − 2024 Mid-Year Update

Davidmanheim27 May 2024 8:27 UTC
13 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

Biorisk is an Un­helpful Anal­ogy for AI Risk

Davidmanheim6 May 2024 6:18 UTC
22 points
4 comments3 min readEA link

Safe Sta­sis Fallacy

Davidmanheim5 Feb 2024 10:54 UTC
23 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

AI Is Not Software

Davidmanheim2 Jan 2024 7:58 UTC
21 points
17 comments5 min readEA link

ALTER Is­rael—End-of-2023 Update

Davidmanheim25 Dec 2023 9:52 UTC
26 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

My Per­sonal Pri­ori­ties, Char­ity, Ju­daism, and Effec­tive Altruism

Davidmanheim1 Dec 2023 11:23 UTC
96 points
16 comments5 min readEA link

Public Call for In­ter­est in Math­e­mat­i­cal Alignment

Davidmanheim22 Nov 2023 13:22 UTC
27 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

How could a mora­to­rium fail?

Davidmanheim22 Sep 2023 15:11 UTC
49 points
4 comments9 min readEA link