This is a good effort, but I’m not sure if the return would be worth it. You said stock market in a different comment—yes, it returns 8% annually, on average, but what happens when it returns −10%? You’re subjecting the forecaster’s to investment risk, whereas what you want to do is subject them only to the forecasting risk (and compensate them appropriately).
This is a good effort, but I’m not sure if the return would be worth it. You said stock market in a different comment—yes, it returns 8% annually, on average, but what happens when it returns −10%? You’re subjecting the forecaster’s to investment risk, whereas what you want to do is subject them only to the forecasting risk (and compensate them appropriately).