Gurkenglas

• GurkenglasApr 4, 2022, 5:39 PM

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Nu­clear Ex­pert Com­ment on Samotsvety Nu­clear Risk Forecast

  If you multiply the odds of each step together, you get the level of danger from being in London.

  As in Dissolving the Fermi Paradox, beware a product of point estimates.