Joseph C

• Joseph CApr 2, 2023, 8:09 PM

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  on: How to per­suade a non-CS back­ground per­son to be­lieve AGI is 50% pos­si­ble in 2040?

  Show them ChatGPT. Also, current estimates have dropped on Metaculus to a median of 2032, not 2040-2050.

• Joseph CMar 23, 2023, 9:07 PM

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Time-Sen­si­tive Op­por­tu­nity to Make $8000 EV in 4 hours in Mas­sachusetts via On­line Sports Betting

  Just saw this (and I live in MA). How long does it take bets to settle typically?