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kokotajlod

Karma: 3,040

Most of my stuff (even the stuff of interest to EAs) can be found on LessWrong: https://​​www.lesswrong.com/​​users/​​daniel-kokotajlo

Any­one have thoughts/​re­sponse to this cri­tique of Effec­tive An­i­mal Altru­ism?

kokotajlod25 Dec 2016 21:14 UTC
3 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

On­go­ing law­suit nam­ing “fu­ture gen­er­a­tions” as plain­tiffs; ad­vice sought for how to investigate

kokotajlod23 Jan 2018 22:22 UTC
9 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: A Prob­lem for Long-Ter­mism?

kokotajlod8 Nov 2018 10:09 UTC
30 points
18 comments7 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: De­fus­ing the Ini­tial Worry and Steel­man­ning the Problem

kokotajlod10 Nov 2018 9:12 UTC
35 points
10 comments8 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Solutions

kokotajlod14 Nov 2018 16:04 UTC
20 points
5 comments6 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Con­clud­ing Arguments

kokotajlod15 Nov 2018 21:47 UTC
33 points
6 comments10 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Bibliog­ra­phy and Appendix

kokotajlod20 Nov 2018 17:34 UTC
10 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

Ev­i­dence on good fore­cast­ing prac­tices from the Good Judg­ment Pro­ject: an ac­com­pa­ny­ing blog post

kokotajlod15 Feb 2019 19:14 UTC
79 points
14 comments21 min readEA link

Rele­vant pre-AGI possibilities

kokotajlod20 Jun 2020 13:15 UTC
22 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(aiimpacts.org)

AI risk hub in Sin­ga­pore?

kokotajlod29 Oct 2020 11:51 UTC
23 points
3 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] What con­sid­er­a­tions in­fluence whether I have more in­fluence over short or long timelines?

kokotajlod5 Nov 2020 19:57 UTC
18 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How can I bet on short timelines?

kokotajlod7 Nov 2020 12:45 UTC
33 points
12 comments2 min readEA link

How Rood­man’s GWP model trans­lates to TAI timelines

kokotajlod16 Nov 2020 14:11 UTC
22 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Per­sua­sion Tools: AI takeover with­out AGI or agency?

kokotajlod20 Nov 2020 16:56 UTC
15 points
5 comments10 min readEA link

[Question] Is this a good way to bet on short timelines?

kokotajlod28 Nov 2020 14:31 UTC
17 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

Against GDP as a met­ric for timelines and take­off speeds

kokotajlod29 Dec 2020 17:50 UTC
47 points
6 comments14 min readEA link

Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Ap­peals to the Com­plex­ity/​Mys­te­ri­ous­ness/​Effi­ciency of the Brain

kokotajlod18 Jan 2021 12:39 UTC
27 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute

kokotajlod1 Mar 2021 21:04 UTC
28 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Vignettes Work­shop (AI Im­pacts)

kokotajlod15 Jun 2021 11:02 UTC
43 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Ta­boo “Out­side View”

kokotajlod17 Jun 2021 9:39 UTC
177 points
26 comments7 min readEA link