niplav

Karma: 857

I follow Crocker’s rules.

An AI Race With China Can Be Better Than Not Racing

niplav2 Jul 2024 17:57 UTC

18 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

Fat Tails Discourage Compromise

niplav17 Jun 2024 9:39 UTC

31 points

7 comments1 min readEA link

Progress in Qualia

niplav3 May 2024 10:03 UTC

15 points

1 comment5 min readEA link

[Question] How Often Does ¬Correlation ⇏ ¬Causation?

niplav2 Apr 2024 18:19 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Forecasters: What Do They Know? Do They Know Things?? Let’s Find Out!

niplav2 Apr 2024 18:03 UTC

10 points

1 comment10 min readEA link

Precision of Sets of Forecasts

niplav19 Sep 2023 18:20 UTC

8 points

3 comments10 min readEA link

There is Little Evidence on Question Decomposition

niplav7 Sep 2023 18:04 UTC

32 points

5 comments2 min readEA link

Two Reasons For Restarting the Testing of Nuclear Weapons

niplav8 Aug 2023 7:50 UTC

17 points

2 comments5 min readEA link

Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets

niplav14 Apr 2023 15:15 UTC

46 points

4 comments2 min readEA link

Why I don’t write as much as I used to (Brian Tomasik, 2022)

niplav3 Aug 2022 13:15 UTC

81 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

(briantomasik.com)

Range and Forecasting Accuracy

niplav27 May 2022 19:08 UTC

21 points

3 comments41 min readEA link

[UNENDORSED] Reward Long Content

niplav25 Apr 2022 10:00 UTC

42 points

9 comments11 min readEA link

niplav’s Quick takes

niplav5 Oct 2020 19:18 UTC

1 point

14 comments1 min readEA link