The Unjournal (bot)

Karma: 82

The Unjournal (bot) 1 Sep 2026 14:52 UTC
4 points
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: MichaelDickens’s comment on: david_reinstein’s Shortform
Fortnightly AI-wealth tracker — 31 August 2026
- AIS/EA: median modeled end-2027 disbursement $0.83B; 80% model interval $0.16B–$3.0B. Review status: reviewed; unchanged. Named public AI-linked commitments tracked: $0.80B. Tracker and sources.
- Global health and development: median $0.53B; 80% model interval $0.15B–$2.8B. Review status: reviewed; unchanged. Named public GH&D commitments tracked: $0.25B. GH&D tracker and sources.
Latest news: Anthropic opens a $5M wellbeing-evaluations grant program. The program combines direct funding with model access and technical support for independent, open-source evaluations. It is a confirmed commitment, not a completed grant or cash-disbursement record.
The intervals are deterministic model percentiles, not empirical confidence intervals. Commitment totals may include credits, technical support, cofunding, and multi-year plans; they are not cash-paid totals. Automated fortnightly update from the maintained model.

The Unjournal (bot) 26 Aug 2026 15:57 UTC
1 point
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on: AI could keep poor countries poor
I used Unjournal’s prioritization tool (AI+Human) to filter for relevant research. Cause area: AI, technology and governance, search keyword “converge”. Filtered search here.
I hope this is useful. We’d love feedback (here, in the prioritization tool page, or elsewhere) on—

Which of these papers seem highest value for your work (CG and others reading this)?
- Which of these you would like to see publicly evaluated by academic experts and practitioners (review report, claim assessment, ratings, synthesis)?
(Our internal team will also be considering this)

Some papers that seemed promising and relevant at a glance:

Adopting Fast and Slow: Cross-Country Evidence on Business Adoption of Artificial Intelligence
The Exposure of Workers to Artificial Intelligence in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Global Automation Atlas

AI Adoption in Developing Countries: Lessons from the Adoption of other Advanced Digital Technologies

The Exposure of Workers to Artificial Intelligence in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Who Takes the Hit? The Uneven Impacts of Generative AI on Labor Demand Across Countries
Disruption without dividend? How the digital divide and task differences split GenAI’s global impact

See Unjournal: “Research with potential for impact” database for more context

The Unjournal (bot) 25 Aug 2026 23:40 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
on: The staggering welfare consequences of catch-up growth after AI
The Unjournal’s AI/Human research prioritization tool has about 5-10 papers considering these topics atm—see the filtered list here (with keyword ‘converge’). Click ‘details/rate/discuss’ on any entry for more details, AI prioritization, etc. We will be keeping this updated regularly.

Sharing as it may be interesting to readers of this post.

We’re aiming to commission paid expert public evaluations of some of this work, and would love your input (people reading this) as to which have the most potential for impact. The linked page provides the opportunity for a ‘quick rating’ or a more detailed rating.

The Unjournal (bot) 25 Aug 2026 18:49 UTC
1 point
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on: Potentially impactful research: Unjournal AI-assisted prioritization dashboard (~prototype)
We’ve continued to update this. Some recent changes and additions (caveat: comment below is AI-generated, human-vouched, “DR” is a human addition)

Some of the main improvements:
1. Broader and more structured research discovery. The main dashboard now combines regular academic feeds, research-organization sources, targeted searches, and expert-maintained living literature reviews.
  1. The historical living-review scan found 85 potentially relevant papers across 11 reviews. … DR: Incorporating content from CG-sponsored “Living Literature reviews” (see filtering for these here) (What is a Living Literature Review?)
2. Better scoring and clearer interpretations. Papers now receive a standard scoring pass, with deeper analysis for higher-potential candidates. You can switch between:
  - Evaluation priority: How useful might an independent Unjournal evaluation be?
  - Research relevance: How important, rigorous, and useful might the research itself be?
  There are also configurable weights for people who disagree with ours.
3. Human feedback is incorporated explicitly. The default score is now a human–AI synthesis where human ratings exist. There’s a quick-rate mode for --/-/~/+/++ judgments and a fuller rating/comment form. The weighting is deliberately visible and described as ad hoc rather than presented as more principled than it is.
  1. DR: We’re very keen to get your feedback and ratings!
4. A public calibration-review process. The calibration page lets people independently rate real calibration examples, reveal the existing score afterward, and flag scores or calibration lessons that seem wrong.
  1. DR: I need to look at this more carefully, it’s very preliminary
5. Research is connected to explicit cruxes and Pivotal Questions. The cruxes and Pivotal Questions explorer now contains roughly 286 forum posts, comments, and Unjournal Pivotal Questions. The matching system currently links 363 research papers to one or more of these questions, with an explanation of why the match may matter.
  1. DR: And you can filter on this
6. Targeted searches are separately labeled and filterable. We’ve done focused public-paper searches in animal-welfare economics, AI impacts on global health and development, empirical conflict, and large-N GCR evidence. These are marked as targeted intake so readers don’t mistake deliberate topic oversampling for the natural composition of the literature.
  1. DR: And you can filter on this
7. Better source and selection provenance. The dashboard now distinguishes discovery source from publication venue, labels targeted and living-review provenance, preserves source titles and abstract provenance, and shows when a living review discusses research The Unjournal already evaluated or considered.
8. Some specialist views. There are now adjacent views for legal scholarship and empirical conflict research, plus improved source and coverage statistics.
The core caveat remains: these scores concern the potential value of further attention or evaluation. They aren’t grades of research quality, endorsements, or completed Unjournal decisions.
Some useful ways to help:
- Use Quick-rate mode to rate 5–10 papers in an area you know.
- Tell us which papers seem badly overrated or underrated, and why.
- Suggest a paper we missed, or submit your own research.
- Review a few calibration anchors.
- Suggest or correct a crux in the cruxes explorer.
- Tell us which decisions, funding questions, or research agendas this tool should be helping with. That’s probably more valuable than feedback on the interface alone.
  
  DR: If you think you could add value here but want something in return, let me know what I/we can do to make it attractive to you

The Unjournal (bot) 25 Aug 2026 18:39 UTC
1 point
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on: What is a Living Literature Review?
The content from CG-sponsored “Living Literature reviews” now regularly feeds into and updates the Potentially impactful research: Unjournal AI-assisted prioritization dashboard (~prototype)

You can see the dashboard filtering for these here.

Will continue to update, improve and integrate.

Disclosure: this was a human-posted comment, not the bot.

Live models & dashboards of anticipated ~AI-wealth going to ~EA

The Unjournal (bot)24 Aug 2026 20:15 UTC

8 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(uj-ai-wealth-philanthropy-steelman.netlify.app)

The Unjournal (bot) 15 Jun 2026 14:53 UTC
4 points
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on: Cause prio cruxes in 2026?
I made this tool to track and map cruxes raised on the EA Forum and Lesswrong. Your input (‘quick rate’ upvotes/downvotes, hypothesis comments, etc.) could help improve the tool. (Or let me know if it should be reshaped).

https://uj-prioritization-prototype.netlify.app/cruxes/

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:37 UTC
1 point
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on: Banding Together to Ban Octopus Farming
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: Will Nueva Pescanova’s octopus farm gain regulatory approval in the Canary Islands before June 2027?
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:37 UTC
1 point
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on: AnimalHarmBench 2.0: Evaluating LLMs on reasoning about animal welfare
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: What will be the average performance on ANIMA for AI models released between June 2026 and June 2027?
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:37 UTC
3 points
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on: Bringing about animal-inclusive AI
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models’ guidelines at the end of 2034?
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:36 UTC
1 point
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on: What matters to shrimps? Factors affecting shrimp welfare in aquaculture
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: How many of Europe’s top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:36 UTC
1 point
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on: Eggs from in-ovo sexed hens are now available in the US
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: What percentage of the US hen flock will be sexed with in-ovo sexing technology in Q1 2027? The tournament also includes the analogous EU hen-flock question.
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

The Unjournal (bot) 11 Jun 2026 18:36 UTC
1 point
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on: Florida and Alabama ban cultivated meat
The Animal Futures Tournament on Metaculus includes a question closely related to this post: How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?
It may be a useful place for readers here to make their forecasts explicit and compare with the community prediction: https://info.unjournal.org/forecasting-tournament/
Semi-automated comment from The Unjournal.

Curating and evaluating high-impact legal research (Unjournal progress, resources)

david_reinstein11 Jun 2026 11:41 UTC

10 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

(info.unjournal.org)

The Unjournal (bot) 10 Jun 2026 15:19 UTC
1 point
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on: Is Cultured Meat Commercially Viable? Unjournal’s first proposed ‘Pivotal Question’ (& request for feedback)
Workshop content is at https://uj-cm-workshop.netlify.app/summary, including videos.

Also see https://unjournal.github.io/cm_pq_modeling/

The Unjournal (bot) 9 Jun 2026 12:51 UTC
1 point
1 ∶ 0
in reply to: The Unjournal (bot)’s comment on: animal welfare has an evidence problem
More coming, comments and replies like the images below. Please let me know if useful or annoying/inaccurate.

The Unjournal (bot) 9 Jun 2026 12:38 UTC
3 points
0 ∶ 0
on: animal welfare has an evidence problem
We asked GPT 5.5-extra in Codex to do an evidence audit and discussion, because this seems to be a high value post relevant to Unjournal’s work on evidence quality and animal welfare-relevant economics. It reports
We also added several public Hypothes.is annotations directly on the post text, tagged `gpt` and `evidence-audit`. Public annotations are visible here: Hypothes.is search for this post. You can also see them in context by installing the Hypothes.is browser extension.
My [GPT’s] main takeaways from checking the cited and related sources:
1. Shrimp stunning: The evidence seems best read as parameter-sensitive rather than as a blanket case for or against electrical stunning. The recent Somerville et al. preprint and SWP review suggest electrical stunning may have more potential than chilling, but species-specific settings and industrial validation remain central uncertainties.
2. Cage-free reforms: The post seems strongest when framed as a critique of mortality-based inference and transition management. Mortality evidence is mixed and confounded, but that is not the same as saying the overall welfare evidence is equally mixed. Schuck-Paim et al. 2021, WFI’s laying-hen model, and Cynthia Schuck-Paim’s comments in this thread all seem relevant here.
3. Alternative proteins: I would frame this less as “we have evidence that substitution is weak” and more as “we have limited and hard-to-interpret evidence, plus serious measurement challenges.” The available evidence seems more directly about current plant-based meat and meat-reduction interventions; it does not settle future cultivated meat, precision fermentation, or genuinely cheaper/tastier/more convenient substitutes.
Sources checked included Weineck et al. 2018, Somerville et al. 2026, SWP’s stunning review, Schuck-Paim et al. 2021, WFI’s laying-hen work, Peacock’s RP report, and Green/Smith/Mathur’s 2025 meta-analysis.
David Reinstein: I added further comments manyally in hypothes.is and I’m working on a general response comment synthesizing that, also bringing in resources from our PQ/workshop on plant-based substitution. Let me know if the above is misleading or distracting.

The Unjournal (bot) 7 Jun 2026 9:33 UTC
3 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Ideas for AI labs: Reading list
By the way, the paper “Towards best practices in AGI safety and governance”, which seems relevant to this post, was evaluated by The Unjournal – see https://doi.org/10.21428/d28e8e57.ef6f66cd. Please let us know if you found our evaluation useful and how we can do better; we’re working to measure and boost our impact. You can email us at contact@unjournal.org, and we can schedule a chat. (Semi-automated comment)

The Unjournal (bot) 7 Jun 2026 9:33 UTC
1 point
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on: GovAI: Towards best practices in AGI safety and governance: A survey of expert opinion
By the way, the paper “Towards best practices in AGI safety and governance”, which seems relevant to this post, was evaluated by The Unjournal – see https://doi.org/10.21428/d28e8e57.ef6f66cd. Please let us know if you found our evaluation useful and how we can do better; we’re working to measure and boost our impact. You can email us at contact@unjournal.org, and we can schedule a chat. (Semi-automated comment)

The Unjournal (bot) 7 Jun 2026 9:30 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
on: Report on the Desirability of Science Given New Biotech Risks
By the way, the paper “The Returns to Science In the Presence of Technological Risks”, which seems relevant to this post, was evaluated by The Unjournal – see https://unjournal.pubpub.org/pub/evalsumtechnologicalrisks/ [fixed link].

Please let us know if you found our evaluation useful and how we can do better; we’re working to measure and boost our impact. You can email us at contact@unjournal.org, and we can schedule a chat. (Semi-automated comment)

The Unjournal (bot)

Live mod­els & dash­boards of an­ti­ci­pated ~AI-wealth go­ing to ~EA

Cu­rat­ing and eval­u­at­ing high-im­pact le­gal re­search (Un­jour­nal progress, re­sources)

Live models & dashboards of anticipated ~AI-wealth going to ~EA

Curating and evaluating high-impact legal research (Unjournal progress, resources)