titotal

Karma: 7,480

I’m a computational physicist, I generally donate to global health. I am skeptical of AI x-risk and of big R Rationalism, and I intend explaining why in great detail.

Explaining the discrepancies in cost effectiveness ratings: A replication and breakdown of RP’s animal welfare cost effectiveness calculations

titotal14 Oct 2024 11:34 UTC

142 points

28 comments12 min readEA link

Is “superhuman” AI forecasting BS? Some experiments on the “539″ bot from the Centre for AI Safety

titotal18 Sep 2024 13:07 UTC

66 points

4 comments14 min readEA link

(open.substack.com)

Most smart and skilled people are outside of the EA/rationalist community: an analysis

titotal12 Jul 2024 12:13 UTC

213 points

25 comments14 min readEA link

(open.substack.com)

In defense of standards: A fecal thought experiment

titotal24 Jun 2024 12:18 UTC

6 points

10 comments8 min readEA link

Motivation gaps: Why so much EA criticism is hostile and lazy

titotal22 Apr 2024 11:49 UTC

211 points

44 comments19 min readEA link

(titotal.substack.com)

[Draft] The humble cosmologist’s P(doom) paradox

titotal16 Mar 2024 11:13 UTC

42 points

6 comments10 min readEA link

The Leeroy Jenkins principle: How faulty AI could guarantee “warning shots”

titotal14 Jan 2024 15:03 UTC

54 points

2 comments21 min readEA link

(titotal.substack.com)

titotal’s Quick takes

titotal9 Dec 2023 0:25 UTC

8 points

41 comments1 min readEA link

Why Yudkowsky is wrong about “covalently bonded equivalents of biology”

titotal6 Dec 2023 14:09 UTC

29 points

20 comments16 min readEA link

(open.substack.com)

“Diamondoid bacteria” nanobots: deadly threat or dead-end? A nanotech investigation

titotal29 Sep 2023 14:01 UTC

102 points

33 comments20 min readEA link

(titotal.substack.com)

The bullseye framework: My case against AI doom

titotal30 May 2023 11:52 UTC

70 points

15 comments17 min readEA link

Bandgaps, Brains, and Bioweapons: The limitations of computational science and what it means for AGI

titotal26 May 2023 15:57 UTC

59 points

0 comments18 min readEA link

Why AGI systems will not be fanatical maximisers (unless trained by fanatical humans)

titotal17 May 2023 11:58 UTC

43 points

3 comments15 min readEA link

How “AGI” could end up being many different specialized AI’s stitched together

titotal8 May 2023 12:32 UTC

31 points

2 comments9 min readEA link

Nuclear brinksmanship is not a good AI x-risk strategy

titotal30 Mar 2023 22:07 UTC

19 points

8 comments5 min readEA link

How my community successfully reduced sexual misconduct

titotal11 Mar 2023 13:50 UTC

209 points

32 comments5 min readEA link

Does EA understand how to apologize for things?

titotal15 Jan 2023 19:14 UTC

159 points

48 comments3 min readEA link

Cryptocurrency is not all bad. We should stay away from it anyway.

titotal11 Dec 2022 13:59 UTC

96 points

41 comments10 min readEA link

AGI Battle Royale: Why “slow takeover” scenarios devolve into a chaotic multi-AGI fight to the death

titotal22 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC

49 points

11 comments15 min readEA link

Chaining the evil genie: why “outer” AI safety is probably easy

titotal30 Aug 2022 13:55 UTC

40 points

12 comments10 min readEA link