The people I emailed are very unlikely to hear about effective charity or effective altruism (through some medium that they seriously register) in any other way.
This could be true in the short term. In the longer term I think we should hope that the concept takes off, as environmentalism has, and that most people will hear about it, so “very unlikely” seems unduly pessimistic.
The people I emailed are very unlikely to hear about effective charity or effective altruism (through some medium that they seriously register) in any other way.
This could be true in the short term. In the longer term I think we should hope that the concept takes off, as environmentalism has, and that most people will hear about it, so “very unlikely” seems unduly pessimistic.
I think it’s appropriately pessimistic, or, as I’d prefer to put it, realistic ;)
I’d love to hear your view on the 10th percentile / median / 90th percentile sizes the group reaches before stagnating.