I wouldn’t be too sure about the direction of the conclusion. In particular, premature banning, rather than phasing out seems like it would increase the probability of successful pushback and more organized opposition.
Seems like a possible s-risk factor, too, by contributing to polarization and conflict.
I also think banning shouldn’t happen too early. I think we need a lot of moral progress to prepare for that.
I wouldn’t be too sure about the direction of the conclusion. In particular, premature banning, rather than phasing out seems like it would increase the probability of successful pushback and more organized opposition.
Seems like a possible s-risk factor, too, by contributing to polarization and conflict.
I also think banning shouldn’t happen too early. I think we need a lot of moral progress to prepare for that.