Addendum: I think it’s plausible that Elon ends up making a big Givewell-style donation at the end of this, even if it’s not six billion dollars big. (Maybe a six billion dollar pledge spread out over a long time, like the Bezos climate pledge? Or maybe founding a new EA organization like how he helped found OpenAI—Elon likes to be in charge of his various efforts.) It would probably look pretty stingy and mean to start a big fight over this and end up giving away nothing, just sticking to your “charity is ineffective, I deserve to keep all of my money” guns.
Addendum: I think it’s plausible that Elon ends up making a big Givewell-style donation at the end of this, even if it’s not six billion dollars big. (Maybe a six billion dollar pledge spread out over a long time, like the Bezos climate pledge? Or maybe founding a new EA organization like how he helped found OpenAI—Elon likes to be in charge of his various efforts.) It would probably look pretty stingy and mean to start a big fight over this and end up giving away nothing, just sticking to your “charity is ineffective, I deserve to keep all of my money” guns.