Because I think crowdsourced forecasts without any incentives are basically random. It’s going to give a wrong semblance of information.
Same for estimations that are forced to be numerical even when that’s not appropriate. I think EA should have less forecasting and estimation, and not more.
(I do appreciate the group making this post—see my top level comment)
I unironically think that almost everything in EA should be numerical somewhere. Maybe we have a text layer to explain the numbers, but deep down everything is about the sizes of quantities.
If you think crowdsources forecasts without incentives are random, what do you think about crowdsourced discussions?
I down x-ed your post. I get that feels harsh, but I strongly think you are wrong.
Why do you think it’s a bad idea?
Because I think crowdsourced forecasts without any incentives are basically random. It’s going to give a wrong semblance of information.
Same for estimations that are forced to be numerical even when that’s not appropriate. I think EA should have less forecasting and estimation, and not more.
(I do appreciate the group making this post—see my top level comment)
I unironically think that almost everything in EA should be numerical somewhere. Maybe we have a text layer to explain the numbers, but deep down everything is about the sizes of quantities.
If you think crowdsources forecasts without incentives are random, what do you think about crowdsourced discussions?
I down x-ed your post. I get that feels harsh, but I strongly think you are wrong.
Much more informative—in accordance with what my other comment saying I find the reasoning in the OP much more informative than the numbers.
Feels honest rather than harsh. But thanks for the sympathy, and it’s nice to know where the votes come from.
Obviously, I also strongly disagree with you :)