Idk, many of the people they are directing would just do something kinda random which an 80k rec easily beats. I’d guess the number of people for whom 80k makes their plans worse in an absolute sense is kind of low and those people are likely to course correct.
Otoh, I do think people/orgs in general should consider doing more strategy/cause prio research, and if 80k were like “we want to triple the size of our research team to work out the ideal marginal talent allocation across longtermist interventions” that seems extremely exciting to me. But I don’t think 80k are currently being irresponsible (not that you explicitly said that, for some reason I got a bit of that vibe from your post).
80k could be much better than nothing and yet still missing out on a lot of potential impact, so I think your first paragraph doesn’t refute the point.
Idk, many of the people they are directing would just do something kinda random which an 80k rec easily beats. I’d guess the number of people for whom 80k makes their plans worse in an absolute sense is kind of low and those people are likely to course correct.
Otoh, I do think people/orgs in general should consider doing more strategy/cause prio research, and if 80k were like “we want to triple the size of our research team to work out the ideal marginal talent allocation across longtermist interventions” that seems extremely exciting to me. But I don’t think 80k are currently being irresponsible (not that you explicitly said that, for some reason I got a bit of that vibe from your post).
80k could be much better than nothing and yet still missing out on a lot of potential impact, so I think your first paragraph doesn’t refute the point.