I have made many markets about important people, whether they will do crimes, whether things were crimes, whether there will be conflict, whether things will replicate or are accurate.
In at least 3 cases from people telling me it was extremely costly to this person or that person emotively or with blaming.
I don’t know exactly what markets you’re referring to, but have you considered that they could be right?
And maybe it’s worth the trade-off, but if you’re consistently applying the principle of “more information is always good”, you should want to know when people are annoyed or angry with you (although it might turn out that when you reflect you conclude that there are limits on this principle).
I have made many markets about important people, whether they will do crimes, whether things were crimes, whether there will be conflict, whether things will replicate or are accurate.
In at least 3 cases from people telling me it was extremely costly to this person or that person emotively or with blaming.
I don’t know exactly what markets you’re referring to, but have you considered that they could be right?
And maybe it’s worth the trade-off, but if you’re consistently applying the principle of “more information is always good”, you should want to know when people are annoyed or angry with you (although it might turn out that when you reflect you conclude that there are limits on this principle).