Do you know of anything which directly addresses the argument I made here?
My vague impression is that the optimism I see is based on outside-view type forecasts, and people have mostly not taken inside views. I haven’t thought much about bird flu recently though.
Do you know of anything which directly addresses the argument I made here?
My vague impression is that the optimism I see is based on outside-view type forecasts, and people have mostly not taken inside views. I haven’t thought much about bird flu recently though.