If you came to believe that the risk of data loss through admin error on a self-hosted system were lower than the breach-risk at Google, would that change your view on the convenience-security trade-off?
I donโt think itโs about total likelihood of an event, but expected impact of said event. And because I have very weak priors about the likelihood of either event, getting any new information would probably change my view about the trade-off in some way.
But changing my view on the trade-off looks more like โI now think EA funders should be open to spending $X per year on this rather than $Yโ or โI now think groups with risk profile X should now be willing to switch even if their activity drops 10%โ, rather than coming to believe something more sweeping and conclusive about the entire topic.
I donโt think itโs about total likelihood of an event, but expected impact of said event. And because I have very weak priors about the likelihood of either event, getting any new information would probably change my view about the trade-off in some way.
But changing my view on the trade-off looks more like โI now think EA funders should be open to spending $X per year on this rather than $Yโ or โI now think groups with risk profile X should now be willing to switch even if their activity drops 10%โ, rather than coming to believe something more sweeping and conclusive about the entire topic.