For interested onlookers, note that my use of Linch’s numbers leads to:
~6x increase in grantmaker impact (due to non-grantmaking activities). Probably tonnes of room for disagreement.
~0.13x multiplier due to the proportion of grants where grantmakers can make a counterfactual difference. Probably not much more than 0.5-1 orders of magnitude available for disagreement.
~300M $/x-risk basis point estimate. Probably not much more than 1-2 order of magnitude available for disagreement.
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For interested onlookers, note that my use of Linch’s numbers leads to:
~6x increase in grantmaker impact (due to non-grantmaking activities). Probably tonnes of room for disagreement.
~0.13x multiplier due to the proportion of grants where grantmakers can make a counterfactual difference. Probably not much more than 0.5-1 orders of magnitude available for disagreement.
~300M $/x-risk basis point estimate. Probably not much more than 1-2 order of magnitude available for disagreement.