I’m aware and I don’t disagree. However, in xrisk, many (not all) of those who are most worried are also most bullish about capabilities. Reversely, many (not all) who are not worried are unimpressed with capabilities. Being aware of the concept of AGI, that it may be coming soon, and of how impactful it could be, is in practice often a first step towards becoming concerned about the risks, too. This is not true for everyone unfortunately. Still, I would say that at least for our chances to get an international treaty passed, it is perhaps hopeful that the power of AGI is on the radar of leading politicians (although this may also increase risk through other paths).
I don’t think that’s true at all. The effective accelerationists and the (to coin a term) AI hawks are major factions in the conflict over AI. I think you could argue they aren’t bullish enough about the full extent of the capabilities of AGI (except for the minority of extinctionist Landians, this is partly true) – in which case the Trumps aren’t bullish enough either. As @Garrison noted here, prominent Republicans like Ted Cruz and JD Vance himself are already explicitly hostile to AI safety.
I’m aware and I don’t disagree. However, in xrisk, many (not all) of those who are most worried are also most bullish about capabilities. Reversely, many (not all) who are not worried are unimpressed with capabilities. Being aware of the concept of AGI, that it may be coming soon, and of how impactful it could be, is in practice often a first step towards becoming concerned about the risks, too. This is not true for everyone unfortunately. Still, I would say that at least for our chances to get an international treaty passed, it is perhaps hopeful that the power of AGI is on the radar of leading politicians (although this may also increase risk through other paths).
I don’t think that’s true at all. The effective accelerationists and the (to coin a term) AI hawks are major factions in the conflict over AI. I think you could argue they aren’t bullish enough about the full extent of the capabilities of AGI (except for the minority of extinctionist Landians, this is partly true) – in which case the Trumps aren’t bullish enough either. As @Garrison noted here, prominent Republicans like Ted Cruz and JD Vance himself are already explicitly hostile to AI safety.