It depends on what you mean by ‘know’. Everything is probabilistic, so you can rely on analyses which say that your donation is expected to avert X deaths, but in reality, it will almost certainly be more or less than X.
Also, you can do a lot with $1000.
I think a more specific question might be helpful. Are you looking for the best way to donate to help the most lives, or the most certain donation, even if it leads to a smaller expected impact?
I guess you’re right and I should’ve been more specific.
I want to know the most certain donation both for helping humans and the most certain donation for helping animals (mammals and or birds).
By certain I mean most likely that it will make an impact unlike me voting in a presidential election or staying home. Whatever donation is least likely to be like voting.
It depends on what you mean by ‘know’. Everything is probabilistic, so you can rely on analyses which say that your donation is expected to avert X deaths, but in reality, it will almost certainly be more or less than X.
Also, you can do a lot with $1000.
I think a more specific question might be helpful. Are you looking for the best way to donate to help the most lives, or the most certain donation, even if it leads to a smaller expected impact?
I guess you’re right and I should’ve been more specific.
I want to know the most certain donation both for helping humans and the most certain donation for helping animals (mammals and or birds).
By certain I mean most likely that it will make an impact unlike me voting in a presidential election or staying home. Whatever donation is least likely to be like voting.