My critique of forecasting and rationality communities can be summed up as “penny wise, pound foolish”. And this approach to thinking can be automated by AI, as opposed to more unstructured software thinking
A fair-sized stream seems vast to one who until then Has never seen a greater; so with trees, with men. In every field each man regards as vast in size The greatest objects that have come before his eyes (Lucretius)
I’m visiting Mexico City, anyone I should meet / anyone would like to meet up?
About me: Ex President LSE EA, doing work in global health, prediction markets, AIS.https://eshcherbinin.notion.site/me
My critique of forecasting and rationality communities can be summed up as “penny wise, pound foolish”. And this approach to thinking can be automated by AI, as opposed to more unstructured software thinking
On AI alarmists:
A fair-sized stream seems vast to one who until then
Has never seen a greater; so with trees, with men.
In every field each man regards as vast in size
The greatest objects that have come before his eyes
(Lucretius)