I’m curious whether people have thoughts on whether this analysis of problem-level tractability also applies to personal fit. I think many of the arguments here naively seems like it should apply to personal fit as well. Yet many people (myself included) make consequential career- and project- selection decisions based on strong intuitions of personal fit.
This article makes a strong argument that it’d be surprising if tractability (but not importance, or to a lesser degree neglectedness) can differ by >2 OOMS. In a similar vein, I think it’d also be surprising if personal fit can differ by 2 OOMs.
I’d be interested in theoretical arguments or empirical evidence here, in either direction (Note that showing someone has an absolute advantage of >100X over someone else in the same field is relatively little evidence to me, as the important question here is comparative advantage as conferred by personal fit).
I’m curious whether people have thoughts on whether this analysis of problem-level tractability also applies to personal fit. I think many of the arguments here naively seems like it should apply to personal fit as well. Yet many people (myself included) make consequential career- and project- selection decisions based on strong intuitions of personal fit.
This article makes a strong argument that it’d be surprising if tractability (but not importance, or to a lesser degree neglectedness) can differ by >2 OOMS. In a similar vein, I think it’d also be surprising if personal fit can differ by 2 OOMs.
I’d be interested in theoretical arguments or empirical evidence here, in either direction (Note that showing someone has an absolute advantage of >100X over someone else in the same field is relatively little evidence to me, as the important question here is comparative advantage as conferred by personal fit).