Thanks for this post; really interesting and seems like it could be really important.
“I think this classification allows for there to be potentially astronomical differences in value between the cause areas. There probably won’t be as astronomical differences in value within these cause areas (e.g. between different ways to improve near-term human welfare).”
While I share this intuition (i.e. I can think of some informal reasons why I think this would be correct), I’m not sure it’s an obvious enough claim to not need argumentation. Also, I agree with Michael that the importance of IBCs depends in part on this claim.
For that reason, I’d be really interested to see you make explicit your reasoning for saying this, if you can.
Hey Bella, I’m glad to hear you found it interesting!
I agree that that claim needs more argumentation, and I have replied to one of Michael’s comments with my thoughts. On thinking about all of this a bit more my view has actually evolved somewhat (as explained in my comments to Michael).