Thank you for posting this. I’m also thinking about the probability of stable totalitarianism recently, and your post gave me some new perspectives. Especially the idea that “Lie detection or mind-reading technique may increase totalitarianism” and “P(T) is like a series of dice rolls for each country”
Thanks! I think there’s a lot of thinking that needs to be done wrt all the different contingencies conditioned on the “best case scenario of pausing / not reaching ASI”
Thank you for posting this. I’m also thinking about the probability of stable totalitarianism recently, and your post gave me some new perspectives. Especially the idea that “Lie detection or mind-reading technique may increase totalitarianism” and “P(T) is like a series of dice rolls for each country”
Thanks! I think there’s a lot of thinking that needs to be done wrt all the different contingencies conditioned on the “best case scenario of pausing / not reaching ASI”