I’m interested in operationalizing two questions raised in this thread. The first seems substantially easier to operationalize than the second, but less interesting.
1. Will the next new constitution for a national government be closer to a presidential or parliamentary system?
2. To what extent would academics think that the work of Gerring, Thacker and Moreno were causally relevant to this choice?
These questions are not directly decision-relevant to me, but I’m generally excited about the idea of adding more quantification/forecasting to EA conversations.
I’m interested in operationalizing two questions raised in this thread. The first seems substantially easier to operationalize than the second, but less interesting.
1. Will the next new constitution for a national government be closer to a presidential or parliamentary system?
2. To what extent would academics think that the work of Gerring, Thacker and Moreno were causally relevant to this choice?
These questions are not directly decision-relevant to me, but I’m generally excited about the idea of adding more quantification/forecasting to EA conversations.