The basic takeaway is that collapse->extinction and unrecoverable collapse are both unlikely, but can’t be ruled out. The more important question is “what kind of ethical and political systems might be dominant in a recovered world?”—those systems might be much worse for our future progress than our current world’s dominant ethical and political systems.
Good summary!
I’ve got a book chapter on this topic coming out on March 30 in How Worlds Collapse: What History, Systems, and Complexity Can Teach Us About Our Modern World and Fragile Future. Chapter 4. Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk—Haydn Belfield
The basic takeaway is that collapse->extinction and unrecoverable collapse are both unlikely, but can’t be ruled out. The more important question is “what kind of ethical and political systems might be dominant in a recovered world?”—those systems might be much worse for our future progress than our current world’s dominant ethical and political systems.
Anyway, I’ll share more when the book is out!