One suggestion we got at the EA Econ retreat was to have a prediction market somehow tracking the expected value paired to each certificate as a requirement so that the history of the expected value is known, reducing the risk of retro funding ex ante risky projects.
One suggestion we got at the EA Econ retreat was to have a prediction market somehow tracking the expected value paired to each certificate as a requirement so that the history of the expected value is known, reducing the risk of retro funding ex ante risky projects.
I imagine that this would at first take too much time and produce somewhat low-quality predictions.