There is roughly 0.02-7% chance per year of accidental full-scale nuclear war between US and Russia: source. Since NATO says an attack on one is an attack on all, this could easily spread to the UK. One simple precaution would be for EAs to locate in the suburbs where the risk of being hit his lower (as I have done). The economics of this appear to be favorable because housing prices are typically lower in the suburbs, especially if you can move by rail that is low risk and good potential for multitasking. I would like to formalize this into a paper, but I would need a collaborator.
Interesting, are you concerned that in a full-scale nuclear war that most places in the northern hemisphere would be unsafe due to military targets outside the cities and fallout?
What do you think about this Q&A on Quora about where it would be safest in the event of a nuclear war? Most of the suggested safe locations are in the southern hemisphere like New Zealand.
Most of the Quora discussion seems reasonable for the safest locations. But it is a pretty big sacrifice to change countries just because of the threat of nuclear war. So I am looking at lower cost options. Also, being outside the target countries even in the northern hemisphere would generally not be too bad because the radiation largely rains out within a few days. And even within the target countries if you are not hit by the blast/​fire, you’re most likely to survive. I believe the radiation exposure would be lower than Chernobyl, which took about one year of life off the people nearby.
There is roughly 0.02-7% chance per year of accidental full-scale nuclear war between US and Russia: source. Since NATO says an attack on one is an attack on all, this could easily spread to the UK. One simple precaution would be for EAs to locate in the suburbs where the risk of being hit his lower (as I have done). The economics of this appear to be favorable because housing prices are typically lower in the suburbs, especially if you can move by rail that is low risk and good potential for multitasking. I would like to formalize this into a paper, but I would need a collaborator.
Interesting, are you concerned that in a full-scale nuclear war that most places in the northern hemisphere would be unsafe due to military targets outside the cities and fallout?
What do you think about this Q&A on Quora about where it would be safest in the event of a nuclear war? Most of the suggested safe locations are in the southern hemisphere like New Zealand.
Most of the Quora discussion seems reasonable for the safest locations. But it is a pretty big sacrifice to change countries just because of the threat of nuclear war. So I am looking at lower cost options. Also, being outside the target countries even in the northern hemisphere would generally not be too bad because the radiation largely rains out within a few days. And even within the target countries if you are not hit by the blast/​fire, you’re most likely to survive. I believe the radiation exposure would be lower than Chernobyl, which took about one year of life off the people nearby.