Echoing David, I’m somewhat sceptical of the responses to “what skills and experience they think the community as a whole will need in the future”. Does the answer refer to high impact opportunities in general in the world or only the ones who are mostly located at EA organisations?
I’m also not sure about the relevance to individual EA’s career decisions. I think implying it might be relevant might be outright dangerous if this answer is built on the needs of jobs that are mostly located at EA organisations.
From what I understand, EA organisations have had a sharp increase in not only the number, but also the quality of applications in recent times. That’s great! But pretty unfortunate for people who took the arguments about ‘talent constraints’ seriously and focused their efforts on finding a job in the EA Community. They are now finding out that they may have little prospects, even if they are very talented and competent.
There’s no shortage of high impact opportunities outside EA organisations. But the EA Community lacks the knowledge to identify them and resources to direct its talent there.
There are only a few dozen roles at EA orgs each year, nevermind roles that are a good fit for individual EA’s skillset. Even if we only look at the most talented people, there are more capable people the EA Community isn’t able to allocate among its own organizations. And this will only get worse—the EA Community is growing faster than jobs at EA orgs.
If we don’t have the knowledge and connections to allocate all our talent right now, that’s unfortunate, but not necessarily a big problem if this is something that is communicated. What is a big problem is to accidentally mislead people into thinking it’s best to focus their career efforts mostly on EA orgs, instead of viewing them as a small sliver in a vast option space.
“Does the answer refer to high impact opportunities in general in the world”
That question is intended to look at the highest-impact jobs available in the world as a whole, in contrast with the organisations being surveyed. Given the top response was government and policy experts, I think people interpreted it correctly.