Thanks very much to CEA for doing the recording, editing, and transcription! Also thanks to CEA for the EA grant that has supported some of this work. Mitigating the impact of catastrophes that would disrupt electricity/industry such as solar storm, high altitude electromagnetic pulse, or narrow AI virus, is a parallel effort within The Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (ALLFED) that I did not get a chance to talk about in my 80,000 Hours interview. The Guesstimate model I referred to in the workshop can be found here (blank to avoid anchoring). Also, the three papers involving losing electricity/industry are feeding everyone with the loss of industry, providing nonfood needs with the loss of industry, and feeding everyone losing industry and half of sun. We are still working on the paper for the cost-effectiveness from the long-term future perspective of preparing for these catastrophes, so input is welcome.
Thanks very much to CEA for doing the recording, editing, and transcription! Also thanks to CEA for the EA grant that has supported some of this work. Mitigating the impact of catastrophes that would disrupt electricity/industry such as solar storm, high altitude electromagnetic pulse, or narrow AI virus, is a parallel effort within The Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (ALLFED) that I did not get a chance to talk about in my 80,000 Hours interview. The Guesstimate model I referred to in the workshop can be found here (blank to avoid anchoring). Also, the three papers involving losing electricity/industry are feeding everyone with the loss of industry, providing nonfood needs with the loss of industry, and feeding everyone losing industry and half of sun. We are still working on the paper for the cost-effectiveness from the long-term future perspective of preparing for these catastrophes, so input is welcome.